ResearchPublications

Changes in community-level pedestrian stops following overdose prevention center implementation in New York City: An augmented synthetic control approach
Abstract

BACKGROUND: Overdose prevention centers (OPCs) may reduce public drug use and, with it, policing of people who use drugs in the communities surrounding these sites. We applied an augmented synthetic control method to assess changes in pedestrian stops before and after the November 2021 opening of two OPCs (Washington Heights and East Harlem) in New York City (NYC).

METHODS: We retrieved pedestrian stop information from the New York Police Department’s (NYPD) Stop, Question, and Frisk, program from January 2017 to December 2024, and created bimonthly averages using five- and ten-minute walking buffers surrounding the OPCs and 57 donor sites (syringe service and opioid treatment programs) as outcomes. Covariates were derived from American Community Survey, NYPD Calls for Services, and SafeGraph pedestrian mobility estimates.

RESULTS: The opening of the Washington Heights OPC was associated with a reduction of 2.8 bimonthly average pedestrian stops in the post-intervention period when using five-minute walking buffers, although results were compatible with increases and reductions (95%CI=-9.4, 4.0). For ten-minute walking buffers, results were compatible with a wide range of reductions (ATT=-9.2 [95%CI=-18.3, -1.3]). East Harlem OPC showed larger point estimates when examining both distances (ATT=-8.4 [95%CI=-12.2, -4.5] and ATT=-13.7 [95%CI=-22.1, -4.2] with five- and ten-minute walking buffers, respectively). For both sites, permutation tests suggested that these reductions fell within the range of possible donor-unit placebo effects.

CONCLUSIONS: Our study shows limited evidence of an effect of NYC’s first two OPCs on pedestrian stops in their immediate vicinity, with a potential decrease concentrated in the first two years at the East Harlem location.

Full citation:
Borquez I, Allen B, Basaraba C, Renson A, Moore B, Marshall BDL, Cerda M (2026).
Changes in community-level pedestrian stops following overdose prevention center implementation in New York City: An augmented synthetic control approach
Epidemiology [Epub 2026 May 15]. doi: 10.1097/EDE.0000000000002000.